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With the highly controversial transfer of LeBron James to Miami, the 2010-2011 MVP race is blown wide open. NBA pick handicappers have broken down and previewed these future odds. Will King James win the award for the third time in a row, or will someone else claim victory?
Here are the top contenders:
Kevin Durant (+241)
With LeBron teaming up with Chris Bosh and Dwyane Wade in Miami, his stats will take a serious hit, meaning this year’s MVP award is Kevin Durant’s for the taking. In just three years playing in the NBA, he led the league in scoring by averaging 30.1 points per game, while also grabbing 7.8 rebounds over last season’s campaign. Durant has the ability to shoot 50% from the field, 40% from three point range, and 90% from the free throw line; something only five players have accomplished in the league’s history. If Durant could only improve his 2.8 assist average last season, this award is his for the taking.
Kobe Bryant (+351)
After winning two consecutive finals MVP awards, there is no doubt that Kobe Bryant is also a favorite to win next season’s MVP title. He averaged 27.0 ppg, 5.4 rpg and 5.0 apg last season and these are not too far from the figures he put up when he won the title three years ago (28.3, 6.3 & 5.4). Kobe has also been part of the NBA All-Defensive First Team for five straight years. But, Bryant has already played over 1,000 regular season games and recently had surgery on his right knee, so it wouldn’t be surprising if he has a bit of a decline in his stats this season.
LeBron James (+497)
If King James decided to transfer to a different team other than Miami, he would clearly be the favorite to win the award and be the first player since Larry Bird to win three MVP titles in a row. Now that he has teammates that are required to have more of the ball, it is expected that his scoring opportunities will be less than what he is used to. At this point, it really is hard to tell. With teammates who are excellent scorers, his assist number could increase dramatically. It is no question that LeBron could average a double-double or even a triple-double in the coming years. If Miami could win 65+ games, it is likely that LeBron could win the MVP award simply because he’s the best player in the best team.
Dwight Howard (+803)
It is pretty obvious that Dwight Howard owns the lane, averaging 13.2 rebounds and 2.8 blocks last season. But for him to be a serious contender for MVP, the reigning two-time Defensive Player of the Year will need to dramatically improve his offensive skills. If only Chris Paul managed to be transferred to Orlando, Howard would easily average four to six points more a game and be catapulted to be one of the top dogs to win the title. But, it seems like he is still a year or two away from being effective on his own offensively.
Dwyane Wade (+969)
Dwyane Wade has yet to win an MVP award. And now with both LeBron James and Chris Bosh taking away most of his scoring opportunities, it’s quite hard to imagine him winning the award this season. It is also worth noting that he has never played a full season since he got drafted and it won’t be surprising if he gets sidelined again for weeks with an injury. Still, Wade is one of the best all-around players averaging 26.6 ppg, 6.5 apg, 4.8 rpg, 1.8 spg and 1.1 bpg last season.
Carmelo Anthony (+1224)
Carmelo is, without a doubt, one of the best scorers in the league averaging 28.2 ppg last year and 24.7 ppg for his career. But, his rebound and assist averages have declined in each of the past two years he has played and like Wade, hasn’t played a full season yet since he was drafted. Anthony is in his final year of his contract with Denver and he will be out to prove he is worth the maximum contract money he signed up for. If Carmelo can stay in top form without getting himself injured, rebound and score like he did last year, he could be a dark horse in winning the MVP award.
The Field (+1326)
Although the field has some quality players, it is quite hard to imagine anyone else win the title other than the above six players. Some players worth noting are: Dirk Nowitzki (+1682), Chris Paul (+1732), Derrick Rose (+1987) and Steve Nash (+4076). Nowitzki and Nash are a couple of years past putting up MVP-calibre performances, while Rose is probably still a couple of years away. Chris Paul has the best opportunity in the field, especially if he transfers out of New Orleans.
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